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Rising Chinese labour costs are changing the economics of global manufacturing and could contribute to the creation of 3m jobs in the US by 2020, according to a study being released on Friday.
周五發(fā)布的一份報告稱,中國勞動力成本持續(xù)上漲正在改變?nèi)蛑圃鞓I(yè)的經(jīng)濟格局,在2020年前可能為美國創(chuàng)造300萬個就業(yè)機會。
The Boston Consulting Group analysis says the new jobs will be generated by a “re-shoring” of manufacturing activity lost to China over the past decade.
波士頓咨詢集團(Boston Consulting Group)的這份報告稱,過去十年間流向中國的制造業(yè)活動將開始“回流”,從而增加美國的就業(yè)。
“Re-shoring is part of a broad trend that will emerge as ... production gradually swings back to the US,” Hal Sirkin, a senior partner at the consultancy, told the Financial Times.
該咨詢機構(gòu)高級合伙人哈爾?西爾金(Hal Sirkin)向英國《金融時報》表示:“隨著生產(chǎn)逐漸轉(zhuǎn)移回美國,回流將成為未來一個廣泛趨勢的組成部分。”
The Boston Consulting Group estimates that the trend could cut the US’s merchandise trade deficit with the rest of the world, excluding oil, from $360bn in 2010 to about $260bn by the end of the decade. The shift would also reduce its soaring deficit with China, which reached $273bn in 2010 and has triggered an intense political controversy over China’s exchange rate policies.
波士頓咨詢集團估計,在2020年之前,這一趨勢將導(dǎo)致美國商品貿(mào)易逆差從2010年的3600億美元,收窄至2600億美元左右。美中之間持續(xù)擴大的逆差也將隨之收窄。2010年,美中貿(mào)易逆差達2730億美元,引發(fā)了一場圍繞中國匯率政策的激烈政治爭議。
“While Chinese labour costs are rising, US competitiveness has been improving,” says Mei Xu, the Chinese-born co-owner of Chesapeake Bay Candle, which makes candles and other home fragrance products. “We can invest in automation to make our candles in a factory near Baltimore for a similar cost to doing the same job in China.”
千詩碧可(Chesapeake Bay Candle)是一家生產(chǎn)蠟燭及其他家用香薰產(chǎn)品的公司,在中國出生的徐梅是該公司的老板之一。徐梅表示:“中國勞動力成本正在上漲,而美國的競爭力則在不斷改善。在巴爾的摩附近進行蠟燭自動化生產(chǎn),成本與在中國大致相當(dāng)。”
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